The narrow Republican majority in the U.S. House of Representatives has always been at stake going into the 2026 midterm elections, but after state legislatures in states like Texas voted to redraw congressional lines to favor Republicans, California Democrats, led by Governor Gavin Newsom, countered with their own redistricting initiative—Proposition 50, which was recently approved after voters overwhelmingly backed the play. Now all eyes will be on Florida.
California could stand to win (6) Republican congressional seats, and if the redistricting map in Texas is approved, Republicans could pick up (5) Democratic controlled congressional seats as well.
President Donald Trump has asked Republican-controlled legislatures to redraw congressional lines in their respective states, as the White House is focused on preserving the thin Republican majority in the lower chamber.
By retaining the Congress, President Donald Trump will be able to push through his entire agenda.
If the Democrats win back the House of Representatives, expect another round of impeachment hearings to launch against President Donald Trump.
Speaker of the House, Rep. Daniel Perez (R), has already assembled a select committee to address the midterm redistricting push in Florida after Governor Ron DeSantis signaled that he favored redrawing the existing congressional map. Rep. Juan Porras (R) recently told The Floridian that he would "follow his (Perez) lead."
Another Miami State Rep, Tom Fabricio, believes that there is a clear case for the redrawing of the congressional lines in Florida.
"I believe that there is a precedent for Florida to do semi-decennial redistricting as was done in Texas," said Rep. Fabricio in a statement to The Floridian. "If we are called into a special session for purposes of redrawing the Florida congressional maps, it would be my duty to attend that special session, attend committee hearings, and vote on new congressional maps for Florida."
“Florida, you know, we got a raw deal on the census,” DeSantis said last summer in Bradenton. “We only got one seat when some of these other states were getting seats, when we’ve obviously had more growth. We should have gotten at least two.”
Lt. Governor Jay Collins, who is expected to jump into the 2026 gubernatorial race in January 2026, also said he supported "redrawing congressional lines."
With Gov. DeSantis appearing to push for lawmakers to carve out one more Republican-leaning district, the redrawing of the lines could put (4) Democratic seats in play, but could also put a couple of Republican seats in jeopardy.
There is a very good chance that U.S. Reps. Debbie Wasserman Schultz, Jared Moskowitz, Daren Soto, Lois Frankel, and Frederica Wilson could all lose their seats in the House of Representatives as a result of a new congressional redraw.
Three Republican seats that could change in favor of Democrats are those of Reps. Brian Mast, Carlos Gimenez, and Maria Elvira Salazar, if the Florida legislature redraws the lines.
All eyes are on DeSantis, who can call for a special session at any moment.
Speaker Perez hasn't announced if the select committee on redistricting would meet to redraw the state's congressional map prior to the commencement of the 2026 legislative session, but Gov. DeSantis could sidestep Speaker Perez and just unilaterally call for a special session in late November or sometime in December.
With Gov. Newsom, who squared off with DeSantis during the now infamous “Great Red State vs. Blue State Debate,” drawing a line in the sand to President Trump, could DeSantis be pressed to counter the redistricting tactic by calling in the Republican majority legislature to help mitigate any gains Democrats could make going into the 2026 midterm elections?
