Former Miami mayor Francis Suarez believes the Republican Party can fend off a Democratic “Blue Wave” and stay strong heading into the 2026 Midterm elections.
In a segment with Fox News, Suarez discussed the political landscape, including Congressman Donalds’ gubernatorial run, the shift in Hispanic voters, and the Democratic Party’s increased popularity.
Suarez Believes Donalds Will Still Win
Suarez told the outlet that he believes nationwide midterm races will appear challenging given that movements like the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) have recently gained mainstream popularity.
“I anticipate it to be a little closer than it was during 2024 where Trump won Florida by 13%; it’ll probably be within single digits, but I still think that Congressman Donalds will win,” Suarez said.
Races Are Tight Because of Fresh Faces
The former Miami mayor also pointed to the fact that challengers in Florida’s statewide races are fresh faces as to why the upcoming races are more contested than previous elections.
“This is not an incumbent. [Governor Ron] DeSantis was an incumbent. The president was, in effect, an incumbent, and we’re just seeing races tighten throughout the country in states that were traditionally red,” Suarez said.
Hispanic Vote Dropped To Standard Range
During the segment, Suarez also addressed recent polling suggesting the Republican Party has lost the Hispanic vote by 12 percentage points compared to the 2024 Presidential Election.
According to the poll, 43% of Hispanic voters backed President Trump in 2024; however, support for the Republican Party has dropped to 31%.
“Look, it’s a regression to the mean. I think Hispanics have traditionally supported Republican candidates somewhere in the mid-30s,” Suarez said. “President Trump outperformed and got it up to almost 50% in the 2024 election.
Suarez credited the President’s ability to refrain from treating the Hispanic community as a monolith.
According to data on Hispanic voters in Presidential Elections, Hispanic support for the Republican Party has ranged from 21-37% since 1976, reaching 44% in 2004 and 46% in 2024.
