A new Mason-Dixon poll for NBC 6/Telemundo Station Group shows Congressman and Florida gubernatorial candidate Byron Donalds (R-FL) with a 7-point lead in the governor's race with the general election about a month away.
Byron Donalds: 48%
David Joly: 41%
Undecided: 10%
Other: 1%
"This poll reflects what we are seeing on the ground. Between Byron's non-stop schedule of campaign events, a field army that's knocked more than 1.5 million doors, and a laser-focus on making Florida more affordable, Byron is well-positioned to win on November 3rd and keep Florida red," said Ryan Smith, Chief Strategist for the Byron Donalds for Governor campaign.
According to the poll, Rep. Donalds leads by 22 points with men (55% to 33%), while Jolly leads by 8 points (49% to 41%) with women. Jolly is also ahead with respondents 18-34 (48% to 46%), 35-49 (46% to 45%), while Donalds is up with respondents 50-64 (49% to 40%) and 65 and over (51% to 35%).
In addition, Donalds is ahead by 29 points with white voters (59% to 30%) and 5 points with Hispanics (48% to 43%). Jolly holds a 66-point lead with Black voters (76% to 10%).
The poll is in line with similar results in the gubernatorial race over the last few months. A Public Opinion Research Lab (PORL) poll found Rep. Donalds up five points in July, while a James Madison Institute poll found him up seven in August.
Donalds also held a 12-point lead from a Stetson University poll in September. Jolly was up by 2 points in a Change Research poll in September following a 4-point lead from the group in May.
Along with Donalds-Jolly, Mason-Dixon found Sen. Ashley Moody (R-FL) with a 10-point lead over Democratic challenger Angie Nixon in the U.S. Senate election race.
Sen. Moody: 50%
Angie Nixon: 40%
Neil Gillespie: 2%
Undecided: 8%
Per those results, Sen. Moody leads by 26 points with men (57% to 31%), while Nixon leads by five points (48% to 43%) with women. Nixon is also ahead with respondents 18-34 (51% to 39%), while Moody leads with respondents 35-49 (48 to 44%), 50-64 (53% to 35%), and 65 and over (54% to 34%).
Moody is also up by 32 points with white voters (61% to 29%) and Hispanics (47% to 40%), while Nixon leads with Black voters (81% to 10%).
Mason-Dixon surveyed 625 registered voters from Sept. 28 to Oct. 1 with a +/- four margin of error.
