A recent poll conducted by Quantus Insights shows U.S. Sen. Ashley Moody (R-FL) with a 7-point advantage and over the 50% threshold over Democratic challenger Angie Nixon (D-Jacksonville) in bid for a full term in the U.S. Senate.
Ashley Moody: 50.1%
Angie Nixon: 42.7%
Undecided: 4.0%
Advantage: +7.4%
The poll also found voters pretty locked in with 90.4% of respondents committed to either Sen. Moody or Rep. Nixon, leaving relatively little wiggle room for a major shift among likely voters.
In addition, the poll found a major divide among demographics.
Sen. Moody holds a large lead with men (61%-35%) while Rep. Nixon is ahead with women (49% to 41%). Nixon is much more favorable with younger voters under 30 by a 62% to 38% margin and 53% to 30% with voters 30 to 44 over Moody.
On the other hand, Moody paces Rep. Nixon with voters 45 to 64 by a 53% to 37% margin and 59% to 35% with voters 65 and older.
Moody also holds an advantage with white voters (55% to 39%) and Hispanic voters (54% to 38%), while Nixon carries Black voters (65% to 25%) and Asian voters (82% to 18%). "Other" voters were nearly even at 46% to 45% for Moody.
Moreover, the poll found Moody fairly liked by respondents with 54.3% favorability to 29.8% unfavorability. Nixon stood at 43% favorability to 32.7% unfavorability.
Quantus Insights polled 733 likely voters with a margin of error of 4.1 +/- for its findings.
Moody is looking for a full term in the U.S. Senate after being appointed to the seat by Gov. Ron DeSantis in 2025. She previously served as Florida's attorney general from 2019 to 2025.
She cruised in the Republican special election primary for Senate over challengers Chris Gleason and Ernest Rivera with 80% of the vote in August.
Nixon secured a major upset over challenger Alexander Vindman with 56% of the vote in the Democrat special election primary. The victory was also notable given Nixon was outspent by Vindman roughly 16/1 leading up to the primary.
Alongside her run, Nixon has served in the Florida House of Representatives since 2020. A vocal member in the House, her time included a sit-in over Gov. Ron DeSantis's new Congressional map in May.
The general election is Nov. 3.
