The Associated Industries of Florida (AIF) Center for Political Strategy released findings of a poll showing Amendment 3 failing to reach the 60% mark to pass across all media markets this week, setting up a potential blow to voters looking for property tax relief via the Nov. 3 ballot.
Amendment 3 is officially titled "Increased Homestead Exemption; Lower Cap on Increases In Non-Homestead Property Assessments."
The AIF found voters against the proposal once given the entirety of the ballot's language, which is the following:
"This amendment increases the homestead exemption, for all non-school taxes, to $150,000 in 2027 and $250,000 in 2028, and adjusts for inflation thereafter. It requires the Legislature to prescribe a uniform procedure for counties and municipalities, for their respective levies, to increase the homestead exemption up to full assessed value, and allows special districts, subject to referendum approval, to do the same."
Yes: 53%
No: 28%
According to the poll, Miami and Tampa markets showed the most support for the proposal at 56% each - still four points short of the threshold necessary to pass. Orlando favored the measure the least at 48%.
The poll also found 68% of Republicans in favor to just 32% of Democrats. Independents were evenly split at 50%. Democrats also were the most undecided voters by a wide margin of any political party leaning towards rejection, the poll found.
Similarly, the Republican Party of Florida has come out for Amendment 3, while the Florida Democratic Party has come out against it.
By race, the poll found Black voters at 58% support, white voters at 53% support, and Hispanic voters at 50% support.
The measure also had the least support from voters under 30 (36%), with voters over 40 in favor (56%). Moreover, the poll found lower income voters least in favor (44%) with support growing the higher the household income.
The AIF findings, through McLaughlin & Associates, polled 800 likely 2026 general election voters with a +/- 3.5% for its results from Sept. 28 - Oct. 1.
