A new poll reveals Republicans have lost support from Latino voters in some of the country’s most competitive House districts since 2024.
According to a Hart Research for TelevisaUnivision survey of 1,500 Latino registered voters in 17 House swing districts in states including Texas, California, & Florida, Democrats have gained a 58%-35% lead on the generic congressional ballot.
The Sunshine State's Results
In Florida, Latino voters in two competitive districts have shifted from favoring President Donald Trump (+1) in the 2024 Presidential election to supporting Democrats (+13) ahead of the 2026 Midterm elections – a 52%-39% lead held by Democrats in the Sunshine State.
These results show a sharp turn from 2024: 58% of Latino voters in Florida voted for President Trump during the recent election, per Harvard University’s “The Hispanic Vote in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Elections.”
Latino Voters Switch Sides
According to the same sample group from the recent Hart Research poll, 11% of Latino voters who supported President Trump now support Democratic congressional challengers.
“Latino voters aren’t locked into one party. They’re paying close attention and making decisions based on who shows up for them, and how they’re showing up,” TelevisaUnivision Senior Vice President Kate Coleman told Axios.
Trump's Approval Numbers
Additionally, President Trump’s approval ratings have plummeted among the voter bloc amid his administration’s policy efforts and handling of the economy and foreign policy.
63% of Latino voters disapprove of his overall job performance, compared to 36% who do.
65% of the sample group disapprove of the administration’s role amid the ongoing affordability crisis, while 62% disapprove of the rampant nationwide immigration crackdowns.
These results are pivotal during the upcoming midterm elections, as the Hispanic/Latino voter population is the second-largest group of voting-age Americans, accounting for nearly 15% of all eligible voters in 2024.
