South Carolina Senator Tim Scott (R) surprised everyone when announced that he would be suspending his presidential campaign this past Sunday night.
Sen. Scott made his announcement on former Rep.Trey Gowdy’s Fox News Channel program.
So where will Sen. Scott’s current support go with two months until Iowa voters caucus to decide who they want to be the Republican presidential nominee?
With former President Donald Trump the hands-down favorite to win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination, all eyes are on who will come in second place in all of the early-voting states of Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, and Nevada.
The latest Des Moines Register statewide poll conducted in Iowa has Gov. Ron DeSantis and former Ambassador Nikki Haley tied with 16 percent support of those surveyed.
Trafalgar group has DeSantis at 18 percent followed by Haley with 15 percent support.
It's clear that DeSantis and Haley are battling it out for second place, so the 6.7 percent support Sen. Scott has garnered is expected to go to Haley, or at the very least, the majority of it will go to her.
But even if Scott’s support gets split evenly between Haley and DeSantis, DeSantis has the most to lose.
DeSantis has been pushing the narrative that this was a two-man race between him and President Trump.
This is not the case. DeSantis has had to open up two fronts, one against Trump and the other against Haley.
DeSantis influencers have been quick to try to convince their echo chamber supporters that Scott’s support would go to DeSantis.
It’s a valiant effort, but good money is on Scott’s support going to Haley.
It gets worse for Team DeSantis past Iowa.
As we stated before, DeSantis needs to not lose by more than 15 percentage points.
Haley is leading DeSantis by 4 percent in the average of polls taken in New Hampshire, and is leading him by 8 points in South Carolina.
Both Haley and Scott are from South Carolina and have immense support in their state. If Scott’s support all goes to Haley, it could be lights out of DeSantis the Palmetto State.
The latest Republican presidential primary race poll conducted by then University of North Florida in DeSantis’s home state of Florida has Trump leading him by 30 points.
As expected Trump has already trolled DeSantis over the new Florida poll, and suggests he drop out of the race.
Losing in Florida would not be good for DeSantis.